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책소개

향후 우리 사회가 직면할 가장 세찬 파고 중 하나, 그렇지만 그 대응은 매우 미진해 옹색한 해법밖에 마련하지 못한 현실 그 문제는 바로 ‘고령화’이다. 고령사회의 출현이 부동산시장에 부정적인 영향을 줄 것이라는 전망은 어렵지 않게 관찰할 수 있다. 그러나 이와 같은 전망은 과연 얼마나 정확한가? 충분한 실증적 근거를 갖고 있는가? 사실 이에 대해 적지 않은 학술연구가 진행되었으나, 그 결과들은 아직 우리 사회에 충분히 전달되지 않고 있다. 이에 본 고는 고령화가 주택, 부동산, 도시 등에 걸쳐 미치는 영향에 대한 다양한 이론과 정확한 연구결과들을 풍부하게 제공하고자 한다. 이를 토대로 독자들은 고령사회에 대한 다양한 전망과 예측들에 대해 논리적으로 탄탄한 시각과 통찰력을 기초로 올바르게 이해하고 대응할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다. 또한 본 도서가 고령사회와 부동산에 대해 향후 함께 미래를 만들어 나아가기 위한 지침서 역할을 수행하길 바란다.

저자소개

명지대학교 부동산학과 교수다. 서울대학교 건축학과를 졸업하고 같은 대학의 환경대학원에서 도시계획학 석사, 박사학위를 받았다. 서울대학교 농경제사회학부 BK조교수, 대구대학교 도시·지역계획학과 조교수를 역임했다. 주된 연구분야는 주택 및 부동산정책과 그 효과성이며, 특히 도시문제의 비정부적 해법에 관심을 갖고 있다. 약 60여 편의 학술논문의 저자이며, 최근 논문으로 “공공임대주택의 과밀주거와 과소주거”(2020), “과밀주거의 문제 - 기준과 측정”(2019), “RIR은 국내 임차가구의 주거비부담을 측정할 수 있는가?”(2019) 등이 있다.

목차

제1장 들어가며

1 본고의 목적................................................................ 5
2 본고의 구성................................................................ 14

제2장 고령화의 이해

1 정해진 미래................................................................ 27
2 고령화의 추이................................................................ 30
3 고령가구의 추이................................................................ 42
4 고령화의 지역적 맥락................................................................ 50
5 소결................................................................ 62

제3장 고령가구의 이해

1 인구학적 특성................................................................ 71
2 경제적 특성................................................................ 85
3 신체적, 사회적 특성................................................................ 106
4 소결................................................................ 129

제4장 고령가구의 주택 다운사이징

1 다운사이징과 주택시장................................................................ 139
2 주택 다운사이징의 원인................................................................ 142
3 주택 다운사이징의 반론................................................................ 146
4 실증연구의 결과................................................................ 150
5 소결................................................................ 155

제5장 고령가구의 주택 점유형태

1 주택 점유형태와 그 결정................................................................ 161
2 고령가구의 주택 점유형태 변화................................................................ 168
3 실증연구의 결과................................................................ 170
4 소결................................................................ 180

제6장 고령가구의 부동산자산

1 자산구조의 결정................................................................ 187
2 고령가구의 자산구조 결정................................................................ 192
3 실증연구의 결과................................................................ 195
4 소결................................................................ 201

제7장 부동산자산의 이전

1 자산이전에 대한 이론................................................................ 208
2 주택 및 부동산자산의 이전................................................................ 212
3 실증연구의 결과................................................................ 214

제8장 고령가구와 주택연금

1 모기지와 역모기지................................................................ 231
2 주택연금의 개념 및 현황................................................................ 236
3 주택연금의 주요 이슈................................................................ 249

제9장 고령가구의 주거이동 및 주거입지

1 머무르는가, 이동하는가?................................................................ 260
2 이동의 목적지................................................................ 267
3 실증연구의 결과................................................................ 273

제10장 고령가구의 주택유형과 주택개조

1 고령가구의 주택유형................................................................ 286
2 고령가구의 주택개조................................................................ 303

제11장 고령사회의 도시계획

1 개요................................................................ 327
2 물리적 요인................................................................ 330
3 비물리적 요인................................................................ 335
4 맺으며................................................................ 343

제12장 고령자를 위한 부동산개발

1 들어가며................................................................ 351
2 보건복지부의 노인주거복지시설................................................................ 352
3 중앙정부 및 서울시................................................................ 366
4 현황 및 문제점................................................................ 372

제13장 국외 사례

1 미국................................................................ 389
2 일본................................................................ 403